John Duddy is bidding to go one better, the Nassau Stakes looks set to be the race of the day and a young Irishman could make the difference late on. Alex Steedman of http://betting.betfair.com selects the best bets on the final day of Glorious Goodwood 2010...
I had hoped to be writing about this year's Stewards Cup with Hawkeyethenoo headlining the charge but having missed the line up for today's 15:40 feature by one place, only his form will go into our discussion.
Jim Goldie's improved sprinter beat the revised selection Enact at Newmarket back in May and with several of today's rivals behind her that day, Enact comes into this with a strong chance. Sir Michael Stoute's filly has only gone up 3lbs for that excellent effort and though we haven't seen her since, she comes here fresher than most. Having won on her two-year-old debut and finishing runner up on her reappearance in each of the last two seasons, Enact has always been sharp after a break. She also has the benefit of course experience having run well over a too demanding seven furlongs at this meeting last year.
There are so many alternatives and the draw might not be all middle to far side as the Thursday's Audi Stakes result underlined. Knot In Wood has finished 3/6/3 in the last three renewals and he has place claims despite his big weight and with the excellent Barry McHugh claiming on him again.
You really could go round in circles with the form but I've had my eye on Noverre To Go for a while. I was at Newmarket when he showed a nice burst to win a fair handicap and he ran a cracker to finish seventh in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot. Noverre To Go has been placed on his only run at Goodwood and what a story it would be for part owner John Duddy who's Halmahera was three times runner up in this very race.
The best race on the card is the Nassau Stakes at 15:05 and I'm hopeful that Rosanara can belatedly get her head in front for the year. She won twice last season, including the Group 1 Prix Marcel Boussac at the Arc meeting and has some top class French form in the book. Rosanara finished a charging fourth in the French 1000 Guineas before finding just one too good in their Oaks. There is the suspicion that she will be even better over a mile-and-a-half but Midday is looking increasingly vulnerable in that department and the three-year-old weight allowance could make the difference.
Finally, the booking of young Irish talent Gary Carroll for Peponi really takes the eye in the closing 17:25. He first came to our attention over here when he landed the Ebor on Sesenta last year and he has already ridden two winners from six rides on these shores this season. Peponi is still a maiden but ran very well when trying to give nearly a stone to Suited and Booted at Windsor; the winner has gone in twice again since, so that was mission impossible. There is the feeling that this might still be a relative speed test for Peponi but today's extra furlong will help and everything is in place.
Selections
15:05 Rosanara 2PTS WIN (0-10)
15:40 Enact 1PT WIN
17:25 Peponi 3PTS WIN
Article by Alex Steedman of http://betting.betfair.com
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Goodwood.
1.55 - Wadnaan. Won easily last time out, got pushed along a few furlongs out absolutely stormed up the straight to take the race comfortably by 10 lengths easing down. That was 1m4f that day on Good to Firm ground, the same as todays going. A 6lb penalty doesn't look much as he is feasibly well treated for the Mark Johnson team, who got the ball rolling on day 3 and it continued on day 4 with Sea Lord. Frankie Dettori is booked for the ride and could take some stopping. Dromore could be the danger off a 10lb lower mark than he would be on the all-weather, forced to race wide in a hot handicap and never got involved, but can't be ruled out.
2.30 - Treadwell. He took a big 7f prize last time out, was touched off at Epsom the race before then at Ascot finished quickly, suggesting this first attempt at 8 furlongs will be no problem and could take all the beating. He shouldn't have to improve much to take this race as it doesn't look too strong. Long Lashes looks definitely the main danger, looked a class above rivals in 6f debut then took a 7f Group 3 race on second start, sort of lost her way next two starts, maybe due to lack of stamina, but the early market support looks significant.
3.05 - Stacelita. This triple french Group 1 winner looked right back at her superb best when romping field in a group 3 last time out at Longchamp in June, conceding weight to her main rivals. Ran a cracker in last years Arc, passing the pace maker first then slightly fading but not too much. Todays conditions will be suitable and will go very close. Midday looks to recapture this prize for the second season, running well behind Sariska on season debut suggesting she lost no ability during her break. Versatil in terms of going, winning this race on soft ground last year then winning at the breeders cup on firm ground.
3.40 - Genki. Last years winner looks to win again and is close to being favourite. Ran a brilliant race in the Wokingham behind Laddies Poker Two, finishing 6th, first home on the unfavoured far side. Won next time out, comfortably, at Haydock in first time blinkers. A change of headgear this time, going for first time visor and looks solid to run his race off a 10lb higher mark then last year, but looks to have improved since last year and may have more up his sleeve in terms of a finish. Castles In The Air could run a big race after taking a valuable Ascot Handicap last saturday, although he's never raced downhill he could be a big danger, despite the penalty.
4.15 - Captain Bertie. The one with form coming in to this race, shaped well in a similar contest at Newbury, racing from the rear and clearly doing best of those that did. He finished 3rd behind more experienced pair and that should make him a bit sharper for this today. The Richard Hannon two year olds are on fire this season and especially this festival and they have another big chance here with Pausanias. Early price of even money suggests that, but could need the run today.
4.50 - Goodwood Treasure. Finished second to Memory on debut and followed up with a win here at Goodwood when odds on, the race course experience could prove vital and can not be ruled out. Never finished out of the first 3 on 3 starts and latest 3rd looks solid enough with both first and second upholding the form next time out. Bahamian Sunset could be th chief danger, Paul Hanagan chooses her rather then 3 out of 4 race winner Majestic Myles. She confirmed her debut promise with a drving finish win in a 6f Ayr Auction Maiden and should be on the premises again.
5.25 - Peponi. Never been out of first 3 on 4 career starts, showing plently of ability on 3 starts in maiden company, the step up to handicap didn't hinder progress taking 3rd. That run will have made the selection sharper for this and will be involved close home. A shade more needed but the extra furlong looks to help and a good draw will also be lending a helping hand. Truism ran 3rd in a 1m race earlier in the week, seeing some trouble in running, remains on the same mark here and will be a danger if getting a clear run. A good apprentice takes the ride (Martin Lane) and the extra furlong doesn't seem a problem.
Good luck everyone, sorry for putting these up late today.
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